Abstract
-
The paper proposes a new approach to modelling output growth and empirically compares the relative efficiency, in terms of average MSE, of forecasts of alternative estimation and modelling methods applied to two well-known multi-equation macroeconomic models fitted to Australian data for the period 1962 to 1987. The gain in relative efficiency from the new approach is found to be up to 129 percent over the OLS or ML procedures. © 1992.