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Does the military turn men into criminals? New evidence from Australia’s conscription lotteries

Journal Article


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Abstract


  • In this paper, we estimate the effect of military service on the perpetration of crime. Several hypothesized links exist between service and crime, but recent quasi-experimental studies on this subject have produced mixed results. Our contribution to this literature uses Australia’s Vietnam era conscription lotteries for identification along with criminal court data from Australia’s three largest states. We find no evidence that military service increases or decreases crime in any category. In our preferred specification, the 95 % confidence interval rules out positive (negative) effects larger than 11 % (10 %) relative to the mean crime rate.

UOW Authors


  •   Siminski, Peter M. (external author)
  •   Ville, Simon
  •   Paull, Alexander (external author)

Publication Date


  • 2016

Citation


  • Siminski, P., Ville, S. & Paull, A. (2016). Does the military turn men into criminals? New evidence from Australia’s conscription lotteries. Journal of Population Economics, 29 (1), 197-218.

Scopus Eid


  • 2-s2.0-84945436486

Ro Full-text Url


  • http://ro.uow.edu.au/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1580&context=buspapers

Ro Metadata Url


  • http://ro.uow.edu.au/buspapers/578

Has Global Citation Frequency


Number Of Pages


  • 21

Start Page


  • 197

End Page


  • 218

Volume


  • 29

Issue


  • 1

Place Of Publication


  • Germany

Abstract


  • In this paper, we estimate the effect of military service on the perpetration of crime. Several hypothesized links exist between service and crime, but recent quasi-experimental studies on this subject have produced mixed results. Our contribution to this literature uses Australia’s Vietnam era conscription lotteries for identification along with criminal court data from Australia’s three largest states. We find no evidence that military service increases or decreases crime in any category. In our preferred specification, the 95 % confidence interval rules out positive (negative) effects larger than 11 % (10 %) relative to the mean crime rate.

UOW Authors


  •   Siminski, Peter M. (external author)
  •   Ville, Simon
  •   Paull, Alexander (external author)

Publication Date


  • 2016

Citation


  • Siminski, P., Ville, S. & Paull, A. (2016). Does the military turn men into criminals? New evidence from Australia’s conscription lotteries. Journal of Population Economics, 29 (1), 197-218.

Scopus Eid


  • 2-s2.0-84945436486

Ro Full-text Url


  • http://ro.uow.edu.au/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1580&context=buspapers

Ro Metadata Url


  • http://ro.uow.edu.au/buspapers/578

Has Global Citation Frequency


Number Of Pages


  • 21

Start Page


  • 197

End Page


  • 218

Volume


  • 29

Issue


  • 1

Place Of Publication


  • Germany