Abstract
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This article examines the dynamic relationship between the Reserve Bank of
Australia’s (RBA’s) cash rate and the variable interest rate for lending to
small businesses. The relationship is evaluated via an asymmetric GARCH
model using monthly data spanning from August 1990 to October 2012.
Our results show that a 1 percentage point increase in the cash rate results in
an instantaneous 1.086 percentage point rise in the variable rate for small
businesses, whereas an equivalent 1 percentage point cut only leads to a
0.862 percentage point fall with a delay of up to 2 months. This outcome has
obvious implications for the RBA’s monetary policy transmission
mechanism and the effectiveness of the expansionary policy versus
contractionary policy.