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Climate change impacts on electricity demand in the State of New South Wales, Australia

Journal Article


Abstract


  • Global temperature rise due to climate change has become a major concern for the policy makers. Since

    rising temperature has significant impact on electricity demand, the expansion of the electricity network

    and related augmentation plan of power industries will be affected due to the change in climatic conditions.

    This paper proposes an analytical tool to examine the effect of climate change on the electricity

    demand of New South Wales, Australia. Multiple linear regression analysis has been applied for the historical

    climatic and non-climatic variables to establish a correlation between per capita electricity

    demand and associated key variables. Time series analysis is then carried out to predict future temperature

    and corresponding cooling and heating degree days of New South Wales. Using the proposed analytical

    tool, per capita electricity demand rise is estimated solely due to temperature change. The results

    obtained indicate that electricity demands in summer and spring will increase due to climate change. It is

    found that an increase in temperature alone may lead to 1.36%, 2.72% and 6.14% rise in per capita demand

    during the summer season and 2.09%, 4.5% and 11.3% rise in per capita demand rise during the spring

    session of 2030s, 2050s and 2100s respectively.

Publication Date


  • 2012

Citation


  • T. Ahmed, K. M. Muttaqi & A. P. Agalgaonkar, "Climate change impacts on electricity demand in the State of New South Wales, Australia," Applied Energy, vol. 98, pp. 376-383, 2012.

Scopus Eid


  • 2-s2.0-84862191000

Ro Metadata Url


  • http://ro.uow.edu.au/eispapers/228

Has Global Citation Frequency


Number Of Pages


  • 7

Start Page


  • 376

End Page


  • 383

Volume


  • 98

Place Of Publication


  • United Kingdom

Abstract


  • Global temperature rise due to climate change has become a major concern for the policy makers. Since

    rising temperature has significant impact on electricity demand, the expansion of the electricity network

    and related augmentation plan of power industries will be affected due to the change in climatic conditions.

    This paper proposes an analytical tool to examine the effect of climate change on the electricity

    demand of New South Wales, Australia. Multiple linear regression analysis has been applied for the historical

    climatic and non-climatic variables to establish a correlation between per capita electricity

    demand and associated key variables. Time series analysis is then carried out to predict future temperature

    and corresponding cooling and heating degree days of New South Wales. Using the proposed analytical

    tool, per capita electricity demand rise is estimated solely due to temperature change. The results

    obtained indicate that electricity demands in summer and spring will increase due to climate change. It is

    found that an increase in temperature alone may lead to 1.36%, 2.72% and 6.14% rise in per capita demand

    during the summer season and 2.09%, 4.5% and 11.3% rise in per capita demand rise during the spring

    session of 2030s, 2050s and 2100s respectively.

Publication Date


  • 2012

Citation


  • T. Ahmed, K. M. Muttaqi & A. P. Agalgaonkar, "Climate change impacts on electricity demand in the State of New South Wales, Australia," Applied Energy, vol. 98, pp. 376-383, 2012.

Scopus Eid


  • 2-s2.0-84862191000

Ro Metadata Url


  • http://ro.uow.edu.au/eispapers/228

Has Global Citation Frequency


Number Of Pages


  • 7

Start Page


  • 376

End Page


  • 383

Volume


  • 98

Place Of Publication


  • United Kingdom