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GDP growth and the interdependency of volatility spillovers

Journal Article


Abstract


  • This paper examines the dynamics of cross-country GDP volatility transmission and their conditional correlations. We use quarterly data (1961-2008) for Australia, Canada, the UK and the US to construct and estimate a multivariate generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) model. According to the results from the mean growth equations, we identified significant cross-country GDP growth spillover among these countries. Furthermore, the growth volatility between the US and Canada indicates the highest conditional correlation. As expected, we also found that the shock influences are mainly exerted by the larger economies onto the smaller economies.

UOW Authors


  •   Karunanayake Athukoralalage, Indika P. (external author)
  •   Valadkhani, Abbas (external author)
  •   O'Brien, Martin

Publication Date


  • 2012

Citation


  • Karunanayake Athukoralalage, I., Valadkhani, A. & O'Brien, M. J. (2012). GDP growth and the interdependency of volatility spillovers. Australasian Accounting Business and Finance Journal, 6 (1), 83-96.

Ro Metadata Url


  • http://ro.uow.edu.au/commpapers/2560

Number Of Pages


  • 13

Start Page


  • 83

End Page


  • 96

Volume


  • 6

Issue


  • 1

Place Of Publication


  • http://ro.uow.edu.au/aabfj/

Abstract


  • This paper examines the dynamics of cross-country GDP volatility transmission and their conditional correlations. We use quarterly data (1961-2008) for Australia, Canada, the UK and the US to construct and estimate a multivariate generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) model. According to the results from the mean growth equations, we identified significant cross-country GDP growth spillover among these countries. Furthermore, the growth volatility between the US and Canada indicates the highest conditional correlation. As expected, we also found that the shock influences are mainly exerted by the larger economies onto the smaller economies.

UOW Authors


  •   Karunanayake Athukoralalage, Indika P. (external author)
  •   Valadkhani, Abbas (external author)
  •   O'Brien, Martin

Publication Date


  • 2012

Citation


  • Karunanayake Athukoralalage, I., Valadkhani, A. & O'Brien, M. J. (2012). GDP growth and the interdependency of volatility spillovers. Australasian Accounting Business and Finance Journal, 6 (1), 83-96.

Ro Metadata Url


  • http://ro.uow.edu.au/commpapers/2560

Number Of Pages


  • 13

Start Page


  • 83

End Page


  • 96

Volume


  • 6

Issue


  • 1

Place Of Publication


  • http://ro.uow.edu.au/aabfj/