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Predicting climate change impacts on biodiversity: testing and applying new approaches

Grant


Scheme


  • Linkage Projects

Abstract


  • Potential impacts of climate change on plant species are poorly understood, whilst methods used to assess them remain untested. To accurately predict long-term impacts, mechanisms linking population processes to environmental change must be incorporated into mechanistic models. This is hampered by a lack of data at the population level. To fill this knowledge gap we will (1) investigate the relationship between demographic processes and climatic variation (2) evaluate space-for-time substitution as an approach to investigate this relationship (3) determine plasticity of demographic responses to predicted changes in climate (4) integrate data into a predictive modelling framework to assess extinction risks and refine conservation strategies.

Date/time Interval


  • 2011 - 2015

Sponsor Award Id


  • LP110100527

Local Award Id


  • 12030

Scheme


  • Linkage Projects

Abstract


  • Potential impacts of climate change on plant species are poorly understood, whilst methods used to assess them remain untested. To accurately predict long-term impacts, mechanisms linking population processes to environmental change must be incorporated into mechanistic models. This is hampered by a lack of data at the population level. To fill this knowledge gap we will (1) investigate the relationship between demographic processes and climatic variation (2) evaluate space-for-time substitution as an approach to investigate this relationship (3) determine plasticity of demographic responses to predicted changes in climate (4) integrate data into a predictive modelling framework to assess extinction risks and refine conservation strategies.

Date/time Interval


  • 2011 - 2015

Sponsor Award Id


  • LP110100527

Local Award Id


  • 12030